Your backtest looks perfect. So did every curve-fit strategy that ever burned a funded account. We test what happens on the data it never saw, and we say exactly what we find. No signals. No promises. Evidence.
Verdicts come out robust, fragile, or overfit. You are paying for the truth, whichever it is.
01 · The problem
A strategy tuned to its own history will always look brilliant on that history. Smooth curve, spectacular ratios, none of it real.
The industry calls it a track record. Statistics calls it overfitting. The difference is exactly one test, and almost nobody runs it before selling you the result.
We run it. It is the whole company.
02 · The method
Every audit we deliver and every verdict we publish runs the same battery. It is designed to kill strategies. The ones that survive have earned it.
The strategy as submitted. Full history, honest costs, no tuning. The floor everything else is measured from.
kills nothing, measures everything
400,000 reorderings of the trade sequence. Ruin, abandonment, and terminal-loss probabilities, read off the full distribution instead of the one lucky path.
kills the strategies that only worked in one order
One continuous run, sliced by market regime. Bear, recovery, bull, current, each judged on its own. A bear-year failure is a verdict, not a footnote.
kills the bull-market-only heroes
The settings, jittered in every direction. If they are a lucky peak, the neighborhood collapses around them. Robust settings live on plateaus.
kills the one-magic-number setups
The strategy re-run on thousands of shuffled histories. If randomness explains the returns, we say so, with the p-value and the seed disclosed.
kills the strategies that were never real
Every report states its limitations, every assumption is flagged, and Pine ports ship with an exact parity proof. The full methodology page publishes with our first public verdict. Honesty is not proprietary. Figures on this page are rendered from labeled sample data for illustration, seed disclosed.
03 · How it works
One path, no surprises. Five stations, and you can see every one of them before you ever pay.
04 · Services
Send your strategy. Get a verdict: robust, fragile, or overfit, with every test shown.
3 to 5 business days. If we cannot test it honestly, we decline it before you pay.
Your idea, built properly in Pine or Python, delivered privately with honest limitations stated.
5 to 10 business days. One revision round included. Your code stays yours.
05 · The Verdict series
06 · Questions
No, and we never will. We sell evidence about strategies, and tools that were tested before they shipped. If someone promises you entries and exits with a win rate, that is the product we exist to check.
We will tell you what the evidence says. Verdicts come out robust, fragile, or overfit, and we publish the same battery against popular public strategies, so you can see we mean it.
Tier 1 needs a trade export from any platform. Tier 2 needs your Pine script, shared read-only. Deep work is scoped person to person. Every intake states exactly what we assumed and what we could not verify.
Because we show the work. Pine ports include a parity proof against the original, permutation runs disclose their seeds, and the methodology is public. You are not asked to trust us, you are shown the evidence.
Your code is read privately, never published, never reused, and deleted on request after delivery. The report is yours. We keep only what we need to stand behind the verdict.
The same as any other verdict. You are paying for the truth about a strategy before the market charges you more for the same lesson.